Abstract:
Internet of things sensors are enabling data-driven traffic speed prediction, a foundation of advanced traffic management. However, current research studies mostly predict traffic for one hour ahead. Long-term prediction methods have error accumulation, exposure bias, or low-granularity future data. Based on recent graph deep learning techniques, this paper proposes a data-driven, long-term, high-granularity traffic speed prediction approach. A predictor-regularizer architecture embeds traffic dynamics spatial-temporal data correlation into the prediction process. Both subnetworks use graph convolutions for geometrical latent information extraction and reconstruction. Comprehensive case studies on real-world datasets show that the proposed approach consistently outperforms baselines. It pioneered network-wide long-term traffic speed prediction. The proposed approach’s design principles can inform deep learning-based transportation research.
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